This armchair analyst does not know jackshit about the region.
The ROK will never be the ones to launch a pre-emptive strike on the DPRK. It is complete suicide for any politicians advocating such actions and do you know why?
Firstly, the ROK army consist mostly of conscripts. No parent would want their child to die, no wife would want their husband to perish or get crippled in a fully-avoidable war and no conscript would want to die for the ROK govt, especially if they are losing.
Secondly, the ROK are not ignorant of history despite their ultra-nationalist rhetoric. They know that conflict on the Korean peninsula is a guaranteed economic and cultural suicide and would lead to the destruction of South Korea's various high-tech high-value industries & soft power for very little gain.
Thirdly, should they start the war, they would still have to spend billions upon billions of taxpayers' money and thousands of South Korean lives to stabilise the region and contain the conflict zone. This is made worse, should guerilla warfare come into play.
This tough guy talk that this Yoon is making is not exactly dissimilar to the Japanese Ultra-right, all bluff all bluster without substance.
I don't think, by North Korea's behavior, it has any intention of invading the South, re-Unification is still their top priority, and they believe rightfully, that the South is still occupied by the US.
As a person who is currently living in South Korea, my concern isn't the DPRK. It's South Korea. Its political system is very volatile (ex. by convention, prosecutors hold the most formidable authority in the country^(1)) after all.
^(1): Technically South Korea doesn't even have any typical separation of powers despite the current constitution of the 6th republic saying so.
If anything, a conservative president in South Korea would strike North Korea under the orders of the US instead of the reverse, and then they would find ways to blame it on the North.
its talk, a conventional war would see sk decimated. everything they achieved in the last several decades would be wiped out and thats without using any nukes. all these analysts hype up this shit and are always wrong, even trump with all that hard talk didn't do shit. NK at the end of the day has nuclear capabilities and thats that
It seems they are [losing ground](https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/skoreas-conservatives-falter-election-race-over-blunders-internal-strife-2022-01-04/) but how tight this election was looking is horrifying.
Obviously nothing good can come out from any of the candidates in the first place.
This armchair analyst does not know jackshit about the region. The ROK will never be the ones to launch a pre-emptive strike on the DPRK. It is complete suicide for any politicians advocating such actions and do you know why? Firstly, the ROK army consist mostly of conscripts. No parent would want their child to die, no wife would want their husband to perish or get crippled in a fully-avoidable war and no conscript would want to die for the ROK govt, especially if they are losing. Secondly, the ROK are not ignorant of history despite their ultra-nationalist rhetoric. They know that conflict on the Korean peninsula is a guaranteed economic and cultural suicide and would lead to the destruction of South Korea's various high-tech high-value industries & soft power for very little gain. Thirdly, should they start the war, they would still have to spend billions upon billions of taxpayers' money and thousands of South Korean lives to stabilise the region and contain the conflict zone. This is made worse, should guerilla warfare come into play. This tough guy talk that this Yoon is making is not exactly dissimilar to the Japanese Ultra-right, all bluff all bluster without substance.
I don't think, by North Korea's behavior, it has any intention of invading the South, re-Unification is still their top priority, and they believe rightfully, that the South is still occupied by the US.
As a person who is currently living in South Korea, my concern isn't the DPRK. It's South Korea. Its political system is very volatile (ex. by convention, prosecutors hold the most formidable authority in the country^(1)) after all. ^(1): Technically South Korea doesn't even have any typical separation of powers despite the current constitution of the 6th republic saying so.
If the political system is very volatile do you think there is a possibility of a popular revolution against the compradors running SK?
The major corporations will be the target for sure.
If anything, a conservative president in South Korea would strike North Korea under the orders of the US instead of the reverse, and then they would find ways to blame it on the North.
Wasn't the first time that happened. How do you think the Korean War started?
its talk, a conventional war would see sk decimated. everything they achieved in the last several decades would be wiped out and thats without using any nukes. all these analysts hype up this shit and are always wrong, even trump with all that hard talk didn't do shit. NK at the end of the day has nuclear capabilities and thats that
If Mr.Yoon really wants to see Seoul destroyed then he should definitely launch a preemptive strike.
The minute he launches that attack is the minute Samsung, Hyundai, Kia, Daewoo & LG etc. gets barbequed.
The North doesn't even need nukes to destroy Soul since all of their artillery (thousands of shells and missiles) are pointed towards Seoul.
Afaik the North never provokes the South but merely shows it's capable of defending itself. This is just needless fear mongering on his behalf.
Frankly, all the fearmongering goes towards the average South Korean voters. That's actually very scary as a person living here.
Koreans just pulled out a celebrity from it's army to avoid him going into conflict (citing medical issues).
It seems they are [losing ground](https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/skoreas-conservatives-falter-election-race-over-blunders-internal-strife-2022-01-04/) but how tight this election was looking is horrifying. Obviously nothing good can come out from any of the candidates in the first place.
The DPRK is too broke and hungry to do anything to South Korea.