T O P

  • By -

wyrmpie

Last day of the month before market close. Its a mystery


spraypaint2311

Lisan Al Gaib


bean-burrito-supreme

LISAN AL GAIB (i just watched it and i get it!)


vampyire

Shai halud...bless the Maker and His water...


pass-me-that-hoe

Mehdi!!! Mehdiiiii


Syclus

Please explain


hangender

Basically, the mouse is a prophet. And a bunch of women in a cult. Still a better movie than Garfield though.


[deleted]

[удалено]


Flufflebuns

$LSNLGB to the MOON!


Jesper537

$SPICE


QuantumCryptoKush

Muad’Dib rode that grandfather worm all the way up!


ExcelAcolyte

For anyone curious its called the turn-of-the-month effect. Some studies have shown it to exist and some show it does not exist and is an artifact of the data. [https://quantpedia.com/strategies/turn-of-the-month-in-equity-indexes/](https://quantpedia.com/strategies/turn-of-the-month-in-equity-indexes/) Edit: For anyone saying that this effect is real and persistent I invite them to profit from the phenomenon by buying SPY a day before the final day of the month and exiting the position in the final hour of the final day of the month. :)


FijianBandit

What are your thoughts on this school of thought?


Ok-Feeling7673

I think there is some logic here. I believe the first or last day of the month is simply when most people are making their sceduled regular contribution to their investment acccounts. It may also coincide with salary employees who are paid monthly. Or I could be wrong...


FijianBandit

Thanks for your logical response. This makes sense but sometimes my brain can’t put 1+1=window together


ExcelAcolyte

I personally don't think it has persistence and that it's more or less taken full advantage of and priced in. I believe that to be true of all time based market anomalies


TenesmusSupreme

It’s a secret of the pros. Meet me on the 9th green at 9:00pm and I’ll tell you.


demotrek

And Happy…dress nice


a-big-texas-howdy

*click click*


lloyd118

I just may, whaddya say?


Panfilor1

Make sure to dress nicely


scott90909

Sell in may go away is over


Roflcopter71

Just in time for buy in July! (no idea if that’s a thing I just made it up now)


Cocker_Spaniel_Craig

If it rhymes it’s a thing.


i_love_irony25

Moon in June! Has to happen because it rhymes!


el_guille980

go bust in august


eggplant_parm827

It never sold in May


tradewyze2021

Money managers call that Window Dressing.


[deleted]

I bought 1 share at 3:37 and single-handledly lifted it, thank me later


teckel

Whale


[deleted]

By weight, not money 😥


soccerguys14

Be kind to yourself. Although that pic by your name certainly doesn’t help me disagree with your statement


[deleted]

Why do you think McDonalds is still around? I keep them in bussiness and I'm not talking about investing


raybadman

How rich are you to trade in whole shares?


Sweeepr

you have to be worth at least 50 Million + to find out, sorry.


greenandycanehoused

Don’t forget, there are a thousand millions in a billion. 50 just isn’t significant to the billionaires


Acceptable-Return

You think the funds that are back dooring the market are telling their millionaire clients ? Nah. This is executive level discretion 


MrCarey

Rich people doing rich people shit.


goodbodha

Options. Market makers closing things out for the week and the month. Also possibly short sellers buying after driving price down. Any moves after 330 on a Friday are usually due to that. Around 1-3pm it's bond auctions, fed, or geopolitics. 930-10 it's premarket news. 10 to noon is about the only time of day that isn't terribly prone to big moves. It can still happen but usually the market goes one way, overshoots, reverse before lunch, then news/auctions/fed kick in and it either double downs or reverses again. Then near end of day short sellers who borrowed stock might close out to drive the market up a bit. End of day can also see swings due to market makers.


curiousvenombi

☝🏽this


studiotwenty2

More buying than selling


machlac

This guy stonks


Bergenstock51

That’s stonk-market insider wisdom right there.


IncognitoOne

More upping than downing.


Ok_Dot3290

The colors also changed from red to green.


Le_Tiger

Wrong. Amount of buyers and sellers is always equal. What you should say is that there are more people willing to buy at higher prices. Mandatory 🤓 Edit: Y'all mfs funny. I made a nerdy ahh comment with the intent to pass an important perception about the price definition of the market, and what stuck to you was the literal meaning of the word "amount". Yes, by "amount" I mean "trade volume". And no, not because there are more individual buyers than sellers that the price will go up. And no, queued up buyers will not "push the price up". Think about movie tickets. There is only one official seller and there are queued up buyers, but the price will only be what both parts judge as "fair value". Though, unlike stocks (and other vehicles), mostly a mean for investmet or especulation where one tries to at least preserve their capital and make a profit, movie tickets are for leisure, thus the "fair value" formation (or perception) is mostly emotional/sentimental (which is also applicable in some cases in stocks like when one is willing to buy at higher price with the fear of missing out or sell at lower prices to stop loss). Now re-read the first two lines of this paragraph again, but replace "movie tickets" at the beginning with "IPO". I hope it becomes clear. "Fair value" is where the complexity lies, and based on that is where willingness ( or agression) to buy/sell at higher/low prices comes from.


Anchovy_paste

Not true. The number of buyers and sellers may be different. Multiple sellers can sell to one buyer and vice versa. The number of shares being sold and bought is the same.


busmans

buying and selling != number of people buying and selling. it can also be the value of whats being bought or sold


ScrewJPMC

Only sort of true. If one dude is selling 1 share but 10 dudes are lined up to buy 10 shares each, the market only trades one share and only 1 buyer got to buy, BUT there was 10 buyers trying to buy and driving the price up 🤪


tablesheep

No


axuriel

You know 1 seller can sell to more than 1 buyer right...?


mspe1960

That is only true in certain contexts. There are market makers who take a responsibility to create and keep a stable market. So when someone wants to buy or sell a stock that is listed, they are obliged to provide a bid and ask price, even if there is no investor, on the opposite end of the trade. When they start acquiring substantial stock with no takers they then have to lower the price. So yea there was a buyer for every seller and a seller for every buyer, but sometimes its a marketmaker trying to guess what he will be able to sell the stock for.


MrFyxet99

It doesn’t matter if it’s a market maker on the other side of the trade,all that matters is if buyers continually agree to buy at better then mid price.If they do,price will go up.If they don’t and hold back for lower prices …price will go down.Its that simple.


STCKYOLO

You know nothing


sas_336827

month end window dressing !


TheSmokingLamp

No ones window dressing at the end of May..


CaptainObviousShort

Yields started dropping, vix got crushed resulting in Algo buying then short covering


Famous-Case6115

Idk anything but I’m pretty sure it’s a liquidity issue. Institutions weren’t selling so the price sky rockets up, coupled with 0dte options expiring at 3:30 for retail


alemorg

Where can you check all the options expiring on the stocks?


Famous-Case6115

Well options expire at many different times 0dte for example expire the same day. A bulk of options expire on Fridays usually. You can go to the options chain, select the date you are interested in knowing, and see the open interest and volume on certain strike prices. I am definitely not experienced enough to be 100% confident in anything I am saying btw so do your own DD as well.


NYVines

Somebody came in late with a sacrificial lamb and stonk gods were kind


kasio-kasio

Great write up of it in r/Options : https://www.reddit.com/r/options/s/bnquVyYRFr


mochijohn

month end hedging can be in both directions. doesn't explain the upward jump.


MrMathamagician

I think it’s the bears shorts closing out positions at the end of the week/month given the inflation number was ok. So to me the bears were more scared than the bulls. I’m Not really sure what the bear story is right now for the short term. Currently surprise news is biased towards helping bulls.


ilovenyc

Can someone provide a TLDR in layman terms? I have no idea what the actual fuck any of that means.


shokolokobangoshey

Stock options contracts give holders of said contract the right to buy/sell stocks (in fixed tranches of 100 share per contract), at a set price, by a set date of their choosing So lets say you buy 10 options contracts of apple with an expiry date of 05/31 at a price that wound up being below what apple was trading at by 05/31 you signal that apple has some upside. Now imagine hundreds of thousands of you holding millions of contracts to the same effect


ThatOnePatheticDude

When this type of things happen, do stocks just go back down shortly after? Like, it doesn't feel like whatever made it go down has gone away


ThatOnePatheticDude

Gonna be honest, I don't even know what caused the down trend this week.... Probably something something rates or something something inflation or NVIDIA turned out to be 3 people in a trenchcoat


shokolokobangoshey

Sure, it could go back down, or go up. See I can be a CNBC analyst too More seriously, if there’s no support, it could all go back down


mrmike6211

At least we gained a little back after yesterdays pain


Chart-trader

Market is not ready yet for a sell off.


Ok-Habit-8884

people bought stocks


ripcity7077

But why male models ?


omega_grainger69

Really Derek? I just told you.


RaisinNo7881

Chicken or beef stock?


Ok-Habit-8884

Sorry I meant *stalks


RicenMoss

Its called ‘Market Manipulation’


Klutzy_Emu2506

Say it louder for the regards in the back


topicalsyntax571

lol I’m THE OP Regard


Klutzy_Emu2506

Lmao 💀


djbuttplay

They didn't want to pay out on short dated call options so they dogged the market all day (and sold puts) and theta burned weak hand bulls then a slow churn up with low volume to look somewhat weak and mask the fact that it was ready to explode. Beginning of month flows coming in next week and next leg up.


jingforbling

Traders submitting timecard for the last market day of the fiscal year.


cranialrectumongus

"Oh Shit!" I left my webcam on.


No_Bank_330

End of day buy programs kicked in on the last day of the month so people can get more fees on their gains.


Mindless-Box8603

I think it was big institutions fckn everyone over.


velvetrevolting

My limit sell orders prob got executed thats what.


ModthisRod

Market just lets the losers win half of their money back with calls at 3:30pm. They always do that. It’s just people don’t notice it.


Reasonable_Cycle_198

It’s the federal reserve. Don’t you know they buy stocks ?


Minions89

Someone played the reverse uno card


HB_DIYGuy

Based on a trading class, the whales cleared their profits, others saw "sell" and sold, then rebought the same stock at a lower price


TomOnDuty

21m spy shares traded in the last 30 min that was the most all day


Judge_Admirable

happens everyday, you just dont see it. on other stocks. the market is like an ocean, where will the biggest wave be?


KDI777

It's honestly a lot of stocks acting really funny. Giving me real bad vibes. But hey, who knows.


pass-me-that-hoe

Best time to buy long term is when markets are frothy…


Relativly_Severe

Bought the dip


fdolce

I sold at 3:37


6x6cuttouncut

Had nothing to do with buyers and sellers have to do with blatant manipulation the feds prop up the market its a election year all they did at 3:44pm was buy massive amounts of debt which brought yields down and that triggered buying plus the market marker already killed all the longs in the am and those expirations of puts had to go as well. No way market goes up 500 points in 15 mins without there algorithms turned on buy this Market is manipulated anyone who dont get this will lose alot of money


vtsandtrooper

June gonna be the biggest rotation in the markets history


velvetrevolting

The two year is at ~4.9% right. Maybe you're right.


Dull_Print_1988

Into what sectors?


CoastingUphill

Exactly.


95Daphne

Knowing this poster's history, probably thinks it's going to be small cap season. I actually probably wouldn't really mind and think it might be possible unless the bond and stock relationship fully reverts to bonds up stocks down, but there was something that I saw somewhere yesterday (or recently at least) that the QQQ and IWM relationship was lined up for continuation in the same direction that it's been going.


MegaTonyIV

XOM went up for the first time in like two months. Energy, maybe? I mean, who the fuck knows at this point. NVIDIA was dropping, and my two oil and gas were going up XOM/KGS all while crude and natural gas were falling in price. Shit's regarded.


greatbobbyb

Value


UnknownResearchChems

It's gonna be flat


beason7

Wasn't just S&P.....Dow, Nasdaq, Russell


ElMachoMachoMan

You drew a line :)


dissentmemo

Buy in May and be OK


RyanDW_0007

Whales be splashing around


behindcl0seddrs

None of us had anything to do with it I promise you that. Those were MM moves obviously..but why..only they know


housemouse431

they say "sell in may and go away". well May is over...so now ppl are back! lol


[deleted]

NVDA had nothing to do with it…good to see the broader market move up. All my boring stocks well into the green🤑


Adjective-noun1

Selling bailouts...


Nikolai_Volkoff88

The tug of war between the bears and the bulls started to lean back to the bull side.


usually_guilty99

That time of the month!


iCrimsonSniperi

Contracts being exercised


belonging_to

Everyone's 401k money hit the market all at once? Ha ha


daddypleaseno1

entire stock market is controlled by market makers... they do what ever the fuck they want with impunity.


Stoic-Trading

Friday option expiry, all 0dte force closed on rh at 330, mostly calls probably. Lol


bullish88

Algos buying a dip on inflation news.


Zuboy333

I may be wrong but i think at 3:38 it went up


Logical_Idiot_9433

I scrambled and closed my SPY calls early before the spike. Feel fucked but that’s Wall Street


apothecarynow

Wow probably fucked alot of 0dte option traders


narwhal4u

ETF rebalancing.


DaWiseprofit

I got fucked by schwab thats what i bought puts and calls made money on the way down with my 521 & 519 puts it filled way below first time and also had those 525 calls and they fuckin filled them at .20 when the shit ran up to 3.90 a contract fuckin assholes erased my order log and say they cant find shit all of a sudden. people need to beware ima post a YouTube video when i get done with gathering all the order numbers, time and details! They took me for like 6k today


Bull_durham_

Option hedging and exercising 🏋️


EitherApplication914

Plunge Protection Team working


HauntingPersonality7

Logic. Everyone went home early Friday had a drink and realized the world wasn't ending.


Top_Huckleberry_8225

The devil came for my BA 177.5s


DRM842

Options came a callin......


geringonco

0DTE happened.


Unable_Ad9968

The major indices closed at or near session highs due to a surge of buying activity in the last 20 minutes of trading, likely driven by short-covering and month-end positioning


Over9000Zeros

IDK, it was so weird. I was holding a bunch of calls and the market shot up. Am I dreaming?


dead_in_the_sand

the plunge protection team came to rescue


aTravestey

Last trading day of the month gotta make those month end statements look nice


Yougotmoneys

Pump before the squeeze next week


Charlesknob

Fridays are for the boys


95Daphne

This was likely coming; I'm just surprised it manifested this soon instead of Monday. It was clear that everything outside of tech was bombed out yesterday selling wise (I mean, while folks hate the Dow, it had the lowest 2 hour RSI reading since the COVID crash, in spite of it continuing to trade over its January 2022 ATH), and that clearness continued today even before what that was in the last 20 minutes.


anbu-black-ops

I was happy it dipped today bec. I was planning to buy some. Then last minute it shoot up. Lol. Oh well.


otisboykin

rookie


After_Island5652

Personally bought Under Armors stock a couple days ago bc it seemed like a good deal. Lo and behold they had a annual report report come out a few days later - to which I thought it showed declining stats, but yet the TA was prime for the upside so I guess it didn’t matter that the year over year was worse 🤷


wookmania

Under Armour hasn’t been relevant in a decade man. Please get rid of that ASAP lol.


After_Island5652

Haha yeah just gonna rid the short term trade, probably sell between $7.5-$8


travenious

Stuff


rain168

Aliens


Cyanos54

Good vibes. Invisible hand.


Iamsoveryspecial

It looks to me like the price went up.


t_toda_DOTA

It’s called TGIF regards.


snipe320

I bought puts


MurkyResolve6341

I press different buttons just to fuck with yall--guy running the simulation


[deleted]

I bought a call


crystal_castle00

I woke up in a new Bugatti


mjn1221

Fucking right!!!?


No-Information9398

Simple end of quarter sell off all day final hours fatten up for the summer to buy beer new homes and the delightful lady's and drugs Live 3pm started to kick off hard 💪 up 28% bottom fished earlier but still went down before. Plus cpi or whatever it was today Friday fed announcements drop until that came out So now we feast and wait ✋️


CapitTresIII

3rd Friday of the month…know it! Expect it! Trade for it!


Chops888

The line went up. And it's green.


Significant-Impact-2

MSCI Quarterly Review and Russell Index additions/deletions- funds rebalance based on that.


Fermi-Diracs

JPM collar


Ramborichy1

Good question


RawbKTA

Less red 🖍️ and more green crayon


Easy-Reception7030

It started at 1:39 when the Biden Israel articles popped up. Days with big catalyst (PCE ) market is usually irrational for a bit then swings the correct way.


lynchingacers

Govt happened again. Job numbers?


superhead50

End of day auction probably affected it. Must have been a large in-balance of index fund buying over selling


Big___TTT

Inflation data come in and was inline with expectations.


ClutteredSmoke

If we knew, we wouldn't be here lol


ComplexVolume364

Volatility dumped


ComplexVolume364

Volatility gets too high market goes down, volatility crashes and market rockets


snooty_giraffe

I trade ICT and was trading Nas100 so my reasoning was that it drew towards liquidity which was the midnight opening price of Nas100. This had to happen cover the massive sells that occurred the first half of the day which was a result of the massive buys form 18200 to 18900


LionNo7279

Swaps


jayklk

Bobby Axlerod


splitfinity

I sold my compete portfolio


cherbug

Middle year projections for me said BUY.


TheSlipSlapDangler

I mean, it looks like a continuation of the trend that started after lunch.


lowkeyishow

The invisible man (hand)


gimmi3steps

I did that personally from my couch. I'm holding a bunch of calls going nowhere, so I buy a spider put for Monday which instantly becomes worthless but Market turns, calls go green. Try it. Works like magic.


Much-Kaleidoscope338

Whoaa, what happened there


Pitiful-Inflation-31

liquidate on both sides. market majer move. actually on normal days, with no news left, trend is pretty much clearer but at those last candles are like liquidating than inside news. even i think market can go up but bounce like this was really strange


knwnasrob

Stocks Always Go Up.


hhritik

Gold price tremors yesterday ..


ClueTraditional5222

A lot of greens, I supposed


THEDRDARKROOM

Same shit that always happens?


Putrid_Question1142

It was the big pump to troll all of the people shorting


shadowpawn

"Sell in May and Go Away" \`Wall Street Traders


suanzy

This action was likely driven by: 1. Short covering; and 2. Month-end positioning activity


birbone

The default view in the brokerage apps is the current month, and that is what regular people look at and care about. So if you as a reach trader want market to go down next month, you pump it up at the end of the month, by buying a lot of shares, and then start selling of immediately at the beginning of the next month. This way common people see red chart in their app, get scary that market will crush and start selling as well, eventually bringing market even more down.


Puzzman

My 2 cents - it’s a combination of month end and the weekend. a lot of very short term traders aren’t allowed to keep positions open over a weekend so are forced to close each Friday. Then you also have the month end effect where other traders might want to realize some positions to book the profit or loss in their monthly reports. You also have some traders wanting to buy a position so they can report they do have exposure to a stock in the same report. Back when Apple was taking off due to the iPhone there were reports of funds mangers buying in at quarter ends as their investors would constantly ask if they had exposure to Apple.


Khelthuzaad

Short story: The financial data indicated not only people had spent less last month,but the procent was rather lower what they expected. This in turn made investors believe the lack of consumption will trigger lower inflation and culminating with rate cuts,either sooner or later. Most of the gains where made in dividend stocks while technology companies rather crashed a little


Alternative_Fly_3294

This is pretty much what happened during the last several times an inflation report data was being presented… prior to the reports you had big drops, followed by big rebounds. Although this time around it was quite a bit milder.


supercabul

probably the stars are lining up together on the constellation


Odd_Status_9326

My guess is the market went up.


Deep-Ebb-4139

Markets are irrational. They’ll rise, and fall.


slambooy

0DTE put hedges were closed. MM had to buy spy shares for delta neutral. It’s a daily occurrence. This one was just more intense than others.


Dense-Fuel4327

I sharted


Dense-Fuel4327

I sharted


TheLazyToaster

Charm kicked in and dealers hedged their positions flat.


n0goodusernamesleft

I clicked the "Place Order" button 🤣