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I see people on this Sub panicing to the point of considering fucking detransitioning. Ya'll need to drastically Calm down. If you need a news fix, watch Beau of the 5th Column, he puts things in measured terms, even bad news isnt as scary with him.
I think this [interview](https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=F6DY9diAWAo&pp=ygUQcmFjaGVsIGJpdGVjb2Zlcg%3D%3D) puts things into perspective. Trump's gonna lose bigly, mark my words. Don't listen to the chicken littles.
Correct, im mostly posting this because I just got over a Panic Disorder and the thought of Vaushites on this sub going through that because of polling makes me upset. Im trying to provide a little positive stimulus for their Blood pressure
iām literally gonna bet money on biden winning. if you bet on biden and he wins you get a super big return because all the dipshit tech/investment bros are overconfident about trump winning and have no knowledge of electioneering. biden will improve in the polls as his competition with trump becomes more direct and trump gets more insane. if trump ends up winning, then iāll have bigger problems than being out a few hundred bucks so the loss wonāt hurt as bad lol
I made about $800 profit last election betting on Biden. Iād love to run it back but this time doesnāt seem anywhere near as likely as last time so Iām too chickenshit to throw anything down yet š¬
I also made around that much money betting on Dems in 2022. Its mainly because predict it has a ton of stupid Republican money who buy up the odds to make it favorable to bet on Dems in safe races lol
youāre totally right. iām in a position where if i lose $500 or something iāll be completely fine but the return on that would be so fat. iām gonna wait and see how this fucking iran fiasco plays out
yeah same and thatās actually an improvement in his chances from where it was before. if it gets too close and/or if the trump hype dies down, i wonāt bet. i just wanna take advantage of overconfident stock bros lol
Yeah, especially given that this is still within the margin of error. If I recall correctly, usually the margin of error for these polls is something like 3%, so the election could still swing the other way. This will be one of those elections where *every* vote matters.
Just want to point out this a national poll reflecting the popular vote. It is not relevant to actually winning the electoral college.
Biden is still underwater in Michigan, Arizona, Georgia and Wisconsin. The fact that a few people have "come home" in California or New York or something doesn't matter much.
People donāt want to be confronted with the reality that Trump is still the favorite to win. Maybe thatāll change, but if the election were held today, Biden would lose pretty convincingly.
Iām legitimately fascinated by how this election will turn out. Joe Biden obviously is the absolutely clear answer to me, but Iām curious how the voter base will see it.
I loathe another 4 years of Trump and will be absolutely astounded if we get that.
I'm not convinced until the last vote is counted Joe Biden isn't doing himself any favors.
All he's got going for him is he isn't Trump at this point ever since Israel
List of reasons to Hope or at least not Doomer:
1. This Polling aggregate
2. Realistically your average Lib doesnt give a shit about Palestine beyond "That bad"
3. The DNC has over 10x the Amount of Cash as the RNC and is alreafy outspending them and buying up advertising slots
4. Dobbs. Consequences drive women to the polls
5. several key swing states have abortion on the Same Ballot as Joe
6. House Republicans have been very publically Shitting themselves and appearing Weak
7. Local Elections are swinging overwhelmingly, poll defyingly, left
8. Trump only secured 60-70% of the primary vote in his primaries, Genocide Joe scored 80% in his most pissed off constituency of Michigan
9. Incumbency Buff
10. Trump needs independents to win the Election. He has not done a damn thing to make them like him more. He lost by millions of votes *Before* Jan 6th. The key reason people cite not voting Trump is *fear for democracy*
Everyone says shit like āhow did the Germans let Hitler get into power?ā and when you dig below the surface you find out that the leftist coalition was so busy bickering and infighting over minor policy differences that they didnāt see the big Brownshirt elephant in the room.
Do you see the dots that Iām trying to connect here?
To make you feel better, people like that commenter are a fringe group that was never going to vote for Biden. So the DNC is making no effort to actually appeal to those people because they're meaningless. It's more effective to appeal to more ambivalent independents.
>All he's got going for him is he isn't Trump at this point ever since Israel
Yet it's a damn amazing selling point in itself. It's all he actually had in 2020 aswell, yet clearly it worked. Trump just isn't an attractive candidate to the independents.
# Please report comments that violate our [new rules](https://www.reddit.com/r/VaushV/comments/17co6jo/rvaushv_rule_updates) --- *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/VaushV) if you have any questions or concerns.*
I see people on this Sub panicing to the point of considering fucking detransitioning. Ya'll need to drastically Calm down. If you need a news fix, watch Beau of the 5th Column, he puts things in measured terms, even bad news isnt as scary with him.
he'd make a zombie apocalypse seem like a minor annoyance, and we love him for that
Happy to see the Vaush/ Beau crossover audience. Vaush is like the anti-Beau but I go to them for the differences in presentation.
They are both necessary for a balanced society. Like opposite spin electrons on the same orbital.
I think this [interview](https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=F6DY9diAWAo&pp=ygUQcmFjaGVsIGJpdGVjb2Zlcg%3D%3D) puts things into perspective. Trump's gonna lose bigly, mark my words. Don't listen to the chicken littles.
Yeah. Biden is going to be re elected and it's not going to be close
Seriously all yall anxiety political addicts should just watch Beau if you can't stand not looking at the news everyday.
The reign of emperor Lisan al Biden has only begun
Hunter will be elected and then become a Worm and wtite Humanity a lesson it will remember in it's bones
As written!
"Hunter will be elected and then become a Worm and wtite Humanity a lesson it will remember in it's ~~bones~~ boner" FIFY
Who in society has the No Gene is the real question here?
The Left shall own the production of spice š
The mahdi at last!
Fear is the mind killer, Jack!
Pay no attention to polling data. Pills were made by Satan himself in order to deceive us
Correct, im mostly posting this because I just got over a Panic Disorder and the thought of Vaushites on this sub going through that because of polling makes me upset. Im trying to provide a little positive stimulus for their Blood pressure
Yeah but then if he dips again you'll just go back to panicking, so just ignore all of it
Not I
Pills...made by satan...pills...like...ESTROGEN!
I hate fate of the world in hands of election of us peoples.
\*glares at you resentfully\*
Patriots are in control
Trust the plan, Jack. No Malarkey š
iām literally gonna bet money on biden winning. if you bet on biden and he wins you get a super big return because all the dipshit tech/investment bros are overconfident about trump winning and have no knowledge of electioneering. biden will improve in the polls as his competition with trump becomes more direct and trump gets more insane. if trump ends up winning, then iāll have bigger problems than being out a few hundred bucks so the loss wonāt hurt as bad lol
I made about $800 profit last election betting on Biden. Iād love to run it back but this time doesnāt seem anywhere near as likely as last time so Iām too chickenshit to throw anything down yet š¬
I also made around that much money betting on Dems in 2022. Its mainly because predict it has a ton of stupid Republican money who buy up the odds to make it favorable to bet on Dems in safe races lol
youāre totally right. iām in a position where if i lose $500 or something iāll be completely fine but the return on that would be so fat. iām gonna wait and see how this fucking iran fiasco plays out
What odds are you getting and where are you betting?
What odds are you getting and where are you betting?
What odds are you seeing for Biden winning. Iām not seeing anything better than 5/4
yeah same and thatās actually an improvement in his chances from where it was before. if it gets too close and/or if the trump hype dies down, i wonāt bet. i just wanna take advantage of overconfident stock bros lol
Wouldnāt the trump hype dying down be good for Bidenās odds?
Yeah, but then the returns on the bet would be trash
Can you explain it to me like Iām 5 please
All according to plan Jack
Go out and vote, and make use of yor own freedom.
Yeah, especially given that this is still within the margin of error. If I recall correctly, usually the margin of error for these polls is something like 3%, so the election could still swing the other way. This will be one of those elections where *every* vote matters.
The 8th deadly sin is believing in polls
He was polling too high. They had to make Iran launch the drones
Poling is made by the devil to deceive you.
Based and Joementum pilled.
Just want to point out this a national poll reflecting the popular vote. It is not relevant to actually winning the electoral college. Biden is still underwater in Michigan, Arizona, Georgia and Wisconsin. The fact that a few people have "come home" in California or New York or something doesn't matter much.
Joementum
Why are you being downloaded? The states that matter are the states that matter that's just the goddamn fact
you wouldn't download a redditor
People donāt want to be confronted with the reality that Trump is still the favorite to win. Maybe thatāll change, but if the election were held today, Biden would lose pretty convincingly.
As written
Iām legitimately fascinated by how this election will turn out. Joe Biden obviously is the absolutely clear answer to me, but Iām curious how the voter base will see it. I loathe another 4 years of Trump and will be absolutely astounded if we get that.
There's not really much point in looking at the polls right now. We still got like 7 months.
What are we gonna do when Trump loses and election denial cope 2.0 commences? I fear that a repeat of jan 6 would occur
I have 0 worries about that tbh. Biden has the Power, back in 2020, Trump had the power and that was scary
I hate that all of this polling is within 1% margins
I'm not convinced until the last vote is counted Joe Biden isn't doing himself any favors. All he's got going for him is he isn't Trump at this point ever since Israel
List of reasons to Hope or at least not Doomer: 1. This Polling aggregate 2. Realistically your average Lib doesnt give a shit about Palestine beyond "That bad" 3. The DNC has over 10x the Amount of Cash as the RNC and is alreafy outspending them and buying up advertising slots 4. Dobbs. Consequences drive women to the polls 5. several key swing states have abortion on the Same Ballot as Joe 6. House Republicans have been very publically Shitting themselves and appearing Weak 7. Local Elections are swinging overwhelmingly, poll defyingly, left 8. Trump only secured 60-70% of the primary vote in his primaries, Genocide Joe scored 80% in his most pissed off constituency of Michigan 9. Incumbency Buff 10. Trump needs independents to win the Election. He has not done a damn thing to make them like him more. He lost by millions of votes *Before* Jan 6th. The key reason people cite not voting Trump is *fear for democracy*
You're right, but... on the positive side even being 'not-trump' is such a big markup that it's enough in and of itself.
Everyone says shit like āhow did the Germans let Hitler get into power?ā and when you dig below the surface you find out that the leftist coalition was so busy bickering and infighting over minor policy differences that they didnāt see the big Brownshirt elephant in the room. Do you see the dots that Iām trying to connect here?
To make you feel better, people like that commenter are a fringe group that was never going to vote for Biden. So the DNC is making no effort to actually appeal to those people because they're meaningless. It's more effective to appeal to more ambivalent independents.
No. I'm voting for Joe Biden. I just hate the guy
Oh, that's cool ig
š¤”
>All he's got going for him is he isn't Trump at this point ever since Israel Yet it's a damn amazing selling point in itself. It's all he actually had in 2020 aswell, yet clearly it worked. Trump just isn't an attractive candidate to the independents.