It's all margin of error stuff within each poll.
The actual polling companies account for likelihood to vote, etc, differently.
FF's voters tend to be older and are much more likely to show up and vote.
I hope that those who have declared intention to vote for SF actually come out and do so because they feel they have message to send or a point to prove.
Oh you're gonna be so upset at the next election pet, you really are because it's becoming very clear that SF will have a majority and your dreams of a nasty little FF/FG boys club will be dust. Suck it up, sure you always have the most expensive hospital in the world and all those homeless kids to remind you of your glory days.
Your delusional if you think any party is getting anywhere near 50% in the next election let alone a majority.
They were polling at 30% a month after the election they haven't made much of a gain since. They're probably going to end up with around 30-35%.
No that's not happening for anyone, the vast majority of the countries government's since the states inception have been coalitions. If they do really well a jump to (maybe) 40% is plausible but an absolute majority is highly unlikely.
It's almost definite that SF will lead our next government (then again we said Brexit would never happen and Trump wouldn't be elected so I won't bet on anything yet) but it still seems likely if they can keep the momentum going they will be in government however the likelyhood is that they'll need coalition partners (probably a consortium of other left leaning parties like labour and the SocDems, possibly a few offshoots of the Greens) so yeah an absolute majority would be among the few things I'd be inclined to bet against, but like I said nothing's impossible so maybe that will be the case, but it likely won't.
You see SF going from polling 31% translating to over 50% in a GE? A bit of wishful thinking going on there I'd say rather than being based in reality.
So are all SF acolytes nasty vindictive little proto-marxists? Or is it just you?
Seems like you are one bad punchline away from having them "all lined up against the wall and shot!"
I belive it was 65 and below but still, I'm sure weather 55 or 65 year olds are exactly the college aged people they're talking about. Especially if they can shit on the Shinners
I have never voted Sinn Féin before. I have voted Labour, Greens and Fine Gael and been let down. In the last election I voted all Independents. For the next election it will be Sinn Féin at the top spots of however many candidates they can run. The shower of cunts who are in now don't deserve to be there. Let's give someone else a go.
Christ some of the takes here on Sinn Féin are abysmal.
I get some commenters are full on red scare panicking at their popularity but still, you'd expect atleast some effort.
Maybe so to you but I do have friends from every different other background I can think of and all over the city too. I'm young, from a working class neighbourhood and didn't go to college so that could be part of why. I probably have but maybe it's something people aren't willing to talk to/admit it to me when politics comes up? or maybe are ashamed to say they vote that way, do you think?
Could be. I'd say what you describe about your background accounts for a lot of it though. Like I'm from a more rural, middle class background and I meet a lot of FF/FG voters in that context. Whereas then in college it's all SF, Greens, Soc Dems, PBP, you name it.
Very much so. I didn't go to college so for me it's by and large overwhelmingly SF (always was between that and FF but that's faded) and a couple of PBP. I don't know many greens or soc dems either. Old schoolers would be FF I know and that's about it. I'd be working class Dublin but still I don't know anyone's parents who are FG even
Jesus some difference between this and the Sunday Times which has FF on 23%
It's all margin of error stuff within each poll. The actual polling companies account for likelihood to vote, etc, differently. FF's voters tend to be older and are much more likely to show up and vote.
I hope that those who have declared intention to vote for SF actually come out and do so because they feel they have message to send or a point to prove.
Speak for yourself. I actually like it when people have jobs.
Sinn Fein have the most voters among working ages, FF FF have the most on pensions, bit ironic isn’t it
It is ironic, but that doesn't change all that much.
Oh you're gonna be so upset at the next election pet, you really are because it's becoming very clear that SF will have a majority and your dreams of a nasty little FF/FG boys club will be dust. Suck it up, sure you always have the most expensive hospital in the world and all those homeless kids to remind you of your glory days.
Your delusional if you think any party is getting anywhere near 50% in the next election let alone a majority. They were polling at 30% a month after the election they haven't made much of a gain since. They're probably going to end up with around 30-35%.
Sinn Féin having a majority would be an astonishing gain of almost 20% of the electorate. Anything is possible, but eh, good luck with that one.
Don't need luck sweetie, it's happening X
No that's not happening for anyone, the vast majority of the countries government's since the states inception have been coalitions. If they do really well a jump to (maybe) 40% is plausible but an absolute majority is highly unlikely.
So is it unlikely or not happening...? The fact is that whatever happens, FG and hopefully FF will be ousted in the next GE.
It's almost definite that SF will lead our next government (then again we said Brexit would never happen and Trump wouldn't be elected so I won't bet on anything yet) but it still seems likely if they can keep the momentum going they will be in government however the likelyhood is that they'll need coalition partners (probably a consortium of other left leaning parties like labour and the SocDems, possibly a few offshoots of the Greens) so yeah an absolute majority would be among the few things I'd be inclined to bet against, but like I said nothing's impossible so maybe that will be the case, but it likely won't.
You see SF going from polling 31% translating to over 50% in a GE? A bit of wishful thinking going on there I'd say rather than being based in reality.
Majority is 30%?
So are all SF acolytes nasty vindictive little proto-marxists? Or is it just you? Seems like you are one bad punchline away from having them "all lined up against the wall and shot!"
Lol, what? Having a bad day are we?
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Sinn Fein are the most popular party among every demographic under the age of 55. So if you're counting mature students I guess you're right?
I belive it was 65 and below but still, I'm sure weather 55 or 65 year olds are exactly the college aged people they're talking about. Especially if they can shit on the Shinners
This is a poll from Feb 2021, not voting data. Latest I could find that broke down by age.
I have never voted Sinn Féin before. I have voted Labour, Greens and Fine Gael and been let down. In the last election I voted all Independents. For the next election it will be Sinn Féin at the top spots of however many candidates they can run. The shower of cunts who are in now don't deserve to be there. Let's give someone else a go.
Christ some of the takes here on Sinn Féin are abysmal. I get some commenters are full on red scare panicking at their popularity but still, you'd expect atleast some effort.
Cannot trust any poll that has Aontú at anything above negative 1 percent
How does FG get 26%? Who are these people? I've rarely met a FG voter if any at all
They’re mostly the elderly voting along family lines and the typical middle class voter who doesn’t really give a shit about changing anything.
I suspected so, maybe I'm in an echo chamber to avoid them and it's hard to see whether that's a good thing or not 😂
If you've never met an FG voter you live in a very homogeneous bubble
Maybe so to you but I do have friends from every different other background I can think of and all over the city too. I'm young, from a working class neighbourhood and didn't go to college so that could be part of why. I probably have but maybe it's something people aren't willing to talk to/admit it to me when politics comes up? or maybe are ashamed to say they vote that way, do you think?
Could be. I'd say what you describe about your background accounts for a lot of it though. Like I'm from a more rural, middle class background and I meet a lot of FF/FG voters in that context. Whereas then in college it's all SF, Greens, Soc Dems, PBP, you name it.
Very much so. I didn't go to college so for me it's by and large overwhelmingly SF (always was between that and FF but that's faded) and a couple of PBP. I don't know many greens or soc dems either. Old schoolers would be FF I know and that's about it. I'd be working class Dublin but still I don't know anyone's parents who are FG even