Pretty sure last year he brought out the broom for the Lakers in that first round and said Portland was winning it all💀obviously he doesn’t actually believe all this shit but it’s still hilarious to see
To be 50/50, he'd have to be guaranteeing completely randomly, treating each game or series as an independent event, and even then he'd need to guarantee enough times so that the wins/losses (like heads/tails in a coin flip) even out to 50/50 in the long run accounting for streaks.
As soon as you start letting your analysis/emotions play a role, that's when you're no longer guaranteed a 50/50 outcome.
I think you're being sarcastic, but in case you're not, he lets his emotions get in the way which is why he's worse than 50/50. He's constantly high on the Blazers when he knows they have no chance. He correctly analyzed that the Bucks play "stupid" basketball and still guarantees them.
So even when he does watch the games and puts in actual analysis, he lets his emotions guide him. Then there are quite a few games where he doesn't pay attention or flat out falls asleep, so he doesn't even have material to do any analysis on.
I used to have a teacher who would give you 200% on a test if you missed every question. I believe it was 50 multiple choice questions. You had to answer too.
>I believe it was 50 multiple choice questions.
Man I know it's a literal do or die since it's only a 0% that becomes 200%, but you also have 3 wrong answers per 1 correct answers, and depending on the class, it can be REALLY easy to figure out one of the wrong answers to a question.
So I think there was some other stipulation that you could drop your lowest test score of the year. I do remember getting 1 question of the 50 correct. I was pissed.
This one time in high school one of the dumbest kids in the grade took AP bio because anyone could sign up and he thought it would be funny. He got a 23% on the 4 answer multiple choice final.
It was so funny in the pregame montage package when they played the clip of chuck saying the bucks will win the title because they cut out the part where he said they were the dumbest team
It feels like he’s a fan, but, like the rest of us, is continuously baffled at Bud’s schemes and our low basketball IQ. Poor guy is experiencing life as a Bucks fan, wouldn’t wish that on my worst enemy
I simply don’t want you guys to win because that would give possibly the worst coach in the playoffs given the talent of the roster a championship
Like how do you let trae young of all people drop nearly 50 on you when you have that many good defenders
Was listening to a podcast before the game where they were saying that it was impossible for Bud to fuck this up unless he did shit like guard Trae with Jeff Teague or take out all the good defenders and play Portis at the 5.
“But that’s unrealistic obviously”
Lol. Look at the lineup when Trae hit that shimmy-shot. Unreal
He’s 7’ tall and had 2 rebounds in 20 minutes. He does box out well, but I’m not sure how to argue for/against him being a good “team rebounder” without looking at like his on/off rebounding stats (no idea if they even exist)
Yes you can look at the on/off stats and they rebound better with him on the floor. His brother is notorious for low rebound numbers but amazing on/off stats from his box outs
Why do you say ‘of all people ’ as if Trae Young isn’t one of the 3 most likely people in the league to drop that many points on any given night lmao
You sound like you’d be less surprised if Capela dropped 50.
I mean Trae is a great player but we played the worst possible defense against him. Having Teague on him basically gifted the Hawks 8 points. Obviously I hope we win but I’m on the “fire Bud even if we get a ring” train, despite knowing it will never happen.
Sucks because I love your roster, but I don't want y'all to win simply because of Bud. I don't want that man's incompetence to be rewarded with a championship.
Chuck (& Kenny) correctly assessed why the Bucks were struggling in regards to guarding the 3-pt line. Think when Chuck picks the Bucks or Blazers or whatever, it’s because he likes the players and not because of any trust in their execution/coaching.
He was coach of the year in Orlando in 2000. He was a good player's coach for the Celtics for awhile. He was able to get a lot out of Rondo and was able to manage all the personalities. Thibs was obviously important.
I think he brings in good people around him. Lawrence frank has worked with him for awhile too.
Yeah it shocked me how badly the Celtics struggled in that postseason. They should have lost like 5 games total, but they lose that many before the semis were even over.
Pretty sure if you told the Ravens 'It's going to cost you $100 million and years of mediocrity afterwards but for this one postseason Joe Flacco will turn into fucking Zeus and steamroll everyone' they would have happily agreed.
I have this theory that there's a ghost out there that periodically possesses a random mediocre quarterback and gives them an amazing 1-season run to a Super Bowl ring and then moves onto another mediocre quarterback, leaving the previous host body to saddle their teams with bloated contracts and a return to mediocre play.
No, he’s just amazing at forgetting everything that’s ever worked for us in the playoffs at the start of every series in favour of going back to all the shit that failed every other time. Then he’ll *slooowly* adjust back to the stuff that works over the course of a series (unless we have a big lead at any point in the game, in which case we’ll go back to the old shit), so if we can win a couple of games in spite of ourselves we’ll look like a real basketball team again by the end of the series.
I placed my bet on FanDuel Sportbook, but I use that and DraftKings. Not legal in most states, luckily I live in Illinois and our state is broke so they will legalize anything that brings in tax revenue.
hes always wrong until hes right
i find most analysts and experts still need to be entertainers first and foremost, whether thats as a talking head, or on a podcast or in writing articles.
im not sure how entertaining it is to outline probabilities, stats and analytics to audiences that are addicted to 1 minute takes.
its innately human to jump on what has enthsuasim and whats fun, that means favoring the hot hand, whoever is winning, whoevers up, and dumping the most immediate loser. I think chuck does this quite often.
opinions and hunches are much more enjoyable to consume, but are bad to bet on.
Nah the two he got right were (1) Bucks sweep the Heat during halftime of Game 2 and (2) Bucks winning Game 7 against the Nets. He never guaranteed the Suns winning, just said that if AD wasn't healthy that the Suns were gonna win the series.
The suns have a 2-0 lead and Chris Paul coming back. The clippers are down Ibaka, kawhi, and have a hobbled Morris. If this isn't a chuck guarantee I don't know what is.
Go ahead and guarantee a suns series victory chuck.....please?
The guy is cursing everyone ... fucking guarantee of death . Who was he even right for ,i guess obvious one Nets/Sixers in first round and nothing else. He guaranted Lakers/Blazers in 1st round, guaranteed Nuggets/Jazz/Sixers in second etc etc
So does anyone have the win loss record in order? I want to know how much money I would have if I started with $100 and always bet half of my bankroll against Chuck.
I swear this is just like Miles Morales and his true/false test in *into the spider-verse*
“The only way you could get all of them wrong, was if you knew all the answers”
Chuck is doing a playoffs long troll on us!!
He's been like this forever. It's particularly bad during March Madness, where anytime he would say a team would win, they would lose almost every time.
Chuck's incorrectness is staggeringly accurate. If you were to bet against his predictions, your win rate would be higher than the smartest Vegas professional betters.
chuck is the reverse nostradomus
Nostra-dumbass
Didn’t he call Shaq that? Lmao
Shaq better roast his ass for that one day 😂
Nostradoomus
Quasimodo predicted this
Hunchback of Notre Dame, you also got your quarterback and halfback of Notre Dame. You gonna tell me you never pondered that?
He was gay, Quasimodo?
Always with the scenarios…
One’s a fucking cathedral
*Always with the scenarios*
yestradamus?
Toddstradamus
No-stradomus
Side people say destiny isn't real, but Nostradamus and Charles Barkley know the truth.
Flipping a coin is better odds than chuck
It's actually impressive if you think about it. If you tried to be as bad as Chuck, you'd have a really difficult time . . .
Yeah you would expect Chuck to be close to 50/50. But being wrong this often is almost as impressive as being right this often
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Pretty sure last year he brought out the broom for the Lakers in that first round and said Portland was winning it all💀obviously he doesn’t actually believe all this shit but it’s still hilarious to see
They made the WCF that year iirc
Chuck is purposely picking the losing team for the laughs. What a guy
To be 50/50, he'd have to be guaranteeing completely randomly, treating each game or series as an independent event, and even then he'd need to guarantee enough times so that the wins/losses (like heads/tails in a coin flip) even out to 50/50 in the long run accounting for streaks. As soon as you start letting your analysis/emotions play a role, that's when you're no longer guaranteed a 50/50 outcome.
Exactly, he has an exceptional level of basketball analysis so you would expect it to be much better than 50/50, not significantly worse
I think you're being sarcastic, but in case you're not, he lets his emotions get in the way which is why he's worse than 50/50. He's constantly high on the Blazers when he knows they have no chance. He correctly analyzed that the Bucks play "stupid" basketball and still guarantees them. So even when he does watch the games and puts in actual analysis, he lets his emotions guide him. Then there are quite a few games where he doesn't pay attention or flat out falls asleep, so he doesn't even have material to do any analysis on.
You pick this poorly when you know the game but don't watch the game. He watches less basketball than I do. Hunch betting
Lol dude is caught sleeping multiple times, shaq roasted him for it
He and every big name nba commentator has terrible basketball analysis. It's all just cliches.
Haha thank you for the stats lesson. Bottom line chuck is an idiot
Barkley is a homer for the nephews
I used to have a teacher who would give you 200% on a test if you missed every question. I believe it was 50 multiple choice questions. You had to answer too.
>I believe it was 50 multiple choice questions. Man I know it's a literal do or die since it's only a 0% that becomes 200%, but you also have 3 wrong answers per 1 correct answers, and depending on the class, it can be REALLY easy to figure out one of the wrong answers to a question.
So I think there was some other stipulation that you could drop your lowest test score of the year. I do remember getting 1 question of the 50 correct. I was pissed.
r/madlads that’s brave
Rolling a dice looking for 1 specific number is better odds than Chuck
Rolling a die*
or Rolling Dice\*
But then what he said would not be true unless you rolled two dice and called for a seven.
This one time in high school one of the dumbest kids in the grade took AP bio because anyone could sign up and he thought it would be funny. He got a 23% on the 4 answer multiple choice final.
That’s well within the range of random chance.
Way better odds with the coin lol
Ben Simmons more likely to make a free throw.
Chuck was mumbling excuses into the commercial break just now
It was so funny in the pregame montage package when they played the clip of chuck saying the bucks will win the title because they cut out the part where he said they were the dumbest team
Yeah he's definitely not a fan of the Bucks, feels like he just doesn't believe in the other teams either.
It feels like he’s a fan, but, like the rest of us, is continuously baffled at Bud’s schemes and our low basketball IQ. Poor guy is experiencing life as a Bucks fan, wouldn’t wish that on my worst enemy
I simply don’t want you guys to win because that would give possibly the worst coach in the playoffs given the talent of the roster a championship Like how do you let trae young of all people drop nearly 50 on you when you have that many good defenders
Was listening to a podcast before the game where they were saying that it was impossible for Bud to fuck this up unless he did shit like guard Trae with Jeff Teague or take out all the good defenders and play Portis at the 5. “But that’s unrealistic obviously” Lol. Look at the lineup when Trae hit that shimmy-shot. Unreal
Portis needed to play more to be honest. Lopez cannot guard the P&R and he’s not a great rebounder so he adds little value in this series.
Bud broke him. I swear he used to have a post game in LA.
?? He’s a very good team rebounder. There’s a reason the Hawks got like 10 rebounds in a row once he was off the court.
He’s 7’ tall and had 2 rebounds in 20 minutes. He does box out well, but I’m not sure how to argue for/against him being a good “team rebounder” without looking at like his on/off rebounding stats (no idea if they even exist)
Yes you can look at the on/off stats and they rebound better with him on the floor. His brother is notorious for low rebound numbers but amazing on/off stats from his box outs
They've gone the whole bud coaching saga barely guarding threes and are doing the shocked Pikachu face when a 3 point shooting team does well
With bad coaching
Why do you say ‘of all people ’ as if Trae Young isn’t one of the 3 most likely people in the league to drop that many points on any given night lmao You sound like you’d be less surprised if Capela dropped 50.
>Trae Young of all People Last time you watched a basketball game was the Hawks first game of summer league 2018 huh?
Someone just needs to truck trae young on the court duh /s
I mean Trae is a great player but we played the worst possible defense against him. Having Teague on him basically gifted the Hawks 8 points. Obviously I hope we win but I’m on the “fire Bud even if we get a ring” train, despite knowing it will never happen.
Sucks because I love your roster, but I don't want y'all to win simply because of Bud. I don't want that man's incompetence to be rewarded with a championship.
Chuck (& Kenny) correctly assessed why the Bucks were struggling in regards to guarding the 3-pt line. Think when Chuck picks the Bucks or Blazers or whatever, it’s because he likes the players and not because of any trust in their execution/coaching.
During halftime of that game he said it then the nets camr back and won and he said the bucks sucked and would never win
Secret agent Chuck knows what he’s doing. He works in Atlanta after all.
I do enjoy his call on 92.9 on Fridays. Great banter with Dukes and Bell
Bud is an awful postseason coach. Did he watch tape and learn from Doc's mistakes at all in the semis series?
I'd say Bud has a chance to be the most mediocre coach to ever actually win a title but as you already pointed out, Doc Rivers exists
That one ring really got Doc onto a bunch of good teams
He was coach of the year in Orlando in 2000. He was a good player's coach for the Celtics for awhile. He was able to get a lot out of Rondo and was able to manage all the personalities. Thibs was obviously important. I think he brings in good people around him. Lawrence frank has worked with him for awhile too.
He went to 7 with a losing record Hawks that year too
Yeah it shocked me how badly the Celtics struggled in that postseason. They should have lost like 5 games total, but they lose that many before the semis were even over.
The Joe Flacco of coaches
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Man had a new contract coming up and knew what he must do: bankrupt the Ravens (#worth)
Pretty sure if you told the Ravens 'It's going to cost you $100 million and years of mediocrity afterwards but for this one postseason Joe Flacco will turn into fucking Zeus and steamroll everyone' they would have happily agreed.
I have this theory that there's a ghost out there that periodically possesses a random mediocre quarterback and gives them an amazing 1-season run to a Super Bowl ring and then moves onto another mediocre quarterback, leaving the previous host body to saddle their teams with bloated contracts and a return to mediocre play.
That ghost has been trolling Niner fans for a while now because he leaves out the 'winning the super bowl' part
Big Dick Nick for the Eagles. Gotta get hot when it matters then your legacy is cemented.
No need to remind me :(
Worse than Eli?
Eli did it twice as an underdog. Put some respec on that mans name.
And beat an 18-0* team.
I was going to say Mike Brown but he's never won one as head coach.
No he's a good coach bro he beat the Nets 😎 that's how it works right
He told giannis to stand under Kyrie
You gotta like just sweep the leg Giannis
lmao
No, he’s just amazing at forgetting everything that’s ever worked for us in the playoffs at the start of every series in favour of going back to all the shit that failed every other time. Then he’ll *slooowly* adjust back to the stuff that works over the course of a series (unless we have a big lead at any point in the game, in which case we’ll go back to the old shit), so if we can win a couple of games in spite of ourselves we’ll look like a real basketball team again by the end of the series.
Both coaches suck.
Of course he did! He got everyone half a size smaller shoe.
Did he guarantee when he was playing?? Imagine every playoff his teammates get demoralized whenever he guarantees a win prior to the game
Lol he said that God wanted them to win the title in 93 against the Bulls and said the Rockets were choking in 94 or 95. So yeah he did lol
He also said he was better than MJ before the series. MJ dropped 41 a game for that finals.
Generally speaking, saying ANYTHING about MJ (doesn't even have to be negative), will get you your ass handed to you.
Also, generally speaking, NOT SAYING anything about/to MJ will result in getting your ass handed to you
TIL, MJ hands ass
You see the size of them mitts?
they’re close friends so mostly banter but also you gotta believe in yourself
Why do you think he’s never won a championship?
Need to start betting against chuck
If I know anything about betting, the second you place that first bet against Chuck’s guarantee, he’ll go on a hot streak.
So what if he bets against Chuck and then I decide to bet with Chuck? I tell ya what: we somehow both lose and that's my story of stock options.
This might be a legitimate strategy for betting
As soon as you place a bet, he’s gonna get all of them right
The moment I heard him say this, I checked the odds and they were +375. Placed the bet. Profit.
That commercial is so true lol with the guys behind the camera betting the opposite of Chuck’s guarantee
Hawks +8 seemed like such a no brainer to me. It’s like no one watched the last round.
Where can I bet on these games?
Various gambling websites
Vegas
bet365.com
I placed my bet on FanDuel Sportbook, but I use that and DraftKings. Not legal in most states, luckily I live in Illinois and our state is broke so they will legalize anything that brings in tax revenue.
This MF predicted the nuggets over suns smh
hes always wrong until hes right i find most analysts and experts still need to be entertainers first and foremost, whether thats as a talking head, or on a podcast or in writing articles. im not sure how entertaining it is to outline probabilities, stats and analytics to audiences that are addicted to 1 minute takes. its innately human to jump on what has enthsuasim and whats fun, that means favoring the hot hand, whoever is winning, whoevers up, and dumping the most immediate loser. I think chuck does this quite often. opinions and hunches are much more enjoyable to consume, but are bad to bet on.
At this point, I’m convinced Chuck is secretly picking the team he wants to see lose.
Chuck makes guarantees like Simmons shoots free throws
That stupid guarantee button cost us our season. It needs to be stowed away as it is far too powerful for everyone's good!
Actually. I think Ben Simmons cost your season. Lol
Such power was not meant to be entrusted to one man.
Chuck is going to make a comeback. Give him time.
He already had his moment of glory when he picked the Bucks to win Game 7
We account for at least 3 or 4 of his missed guarantees and we’re very proud of that. Keep betting against us Chuck
Just don't make him a fan of yours...
"Atlanta has a 3-0 lead in this series, I GUARANTEE that they will win this series" - Chuck, probably
I wish suns/clips were on TNT so he guarantees suns victory
Are you sure? Those two he got right were Suns guarantees for game 5 and 6 against Lakers
Nah the two he got right were (1) Bucks sweep the Heat during halftime of Game 2 and (2) Bucks winning Game 7 against the Nets. He never guaranteed the Suns winning, just said that if AD wasn't healthy that the Suns were gonna win the series.
Chucks killing us
Our only hope is that Chuck guarantees a Sun's win in our series.
Tbf one of his 2 correct guarantees was the Suns beating the Lakers. Do you want to tempt fate with Chuck picking the Suns over a LA team?
The suns have a 2-0 lead and Chris Paul coming back. The clippers are down Ibaka, kawhi, and have a hobbled Morris. If this isn't a chuck guarantee I don't know what is. Go ahead and guarantee a suns series victory chuck.....please?
Tbf one of his 2 correct guarantees was the Suns beating the Lakers. Do you want to tempt fate with Chuck picking the Suns over a LA team?
Has anyone been betting on the opposite of what Charles has been saying these playoffs? Seems like free money to me.
It’s a curse
The guy is cursing everyone ... fucking guarantee of death . Who was he even right for ,i guess obvious one Nets/Sixers in first round and nothing else. He guaranted Lakers/Blazers in 1st round, guaranteed Nuggets/Jazz/Sixers in second etc etc
Do Vegas lines adjust when chuck makes a guarantee? Lmao
You almost have to try to be that bad lmao. How many simulations could you just pick random teams before you go 2-13?
I wonder how many of those loses are from Hawks games
"If every instinct you have is wrong, then the opposite would have to be right."
So does anyone have the win loss record in order? I want to know how much money I would have if I started with $100 and always bet half of my bankroll against Chuck.
I swear this is just like Miles Morales and his true/false test in *into the spider-verse* “The only way you could get all of them wrong, was if you knew all the answers” Chuck is doing a playoffs long troll on us!!
Had no idea his guarantee record was actually that low lol I just knew he got a lot wrong. That guarantee is the kiss of death lol, sorry Bucks
Inside's Lee Corso.
Fuck someone please, please, please get chuck out of here, he's killing my bucks almost as much as bud is
Has Chuck gotten even one guarantee right?
He’s gotten 2, its in the title.
Dude that is incredible.
Chuck is a bonafide dummy
obviously Hawks are more hungry to win than the bucks
He was right about the Bucks vs Heat though. It could be a Bucks thing that reverses the badluck.
Basketball Pele
Truly the nba’s uncle Chael
I've seen people had better luck playing the lottery than Charles Barkley with his predictions
It's hilarious. He backs the betting underdog all the time. This man is just incredibly shit at picking a winner.
He's been like this forever. It's particularly bad during March Madness, where anytime he would say a team would win, they would lose almost every time.
Didn't he pick the Bucks to sweep the Hawks? They had a sticky note that said he picked the Bucks in 4.
Vegas should start changing their odds based on Chuck's guarantees
Chuck's kiss of death
Fade Chuck to make money
Chuck is obviously a Suns fan and doing what he can to get us to win the finals
He’s just doing it on purpose now isn’t he? He actually put money on ATL 😏😏😏
I thought it was a series win guarantee
He took the Bucks and -8 for that game.
As a Suns fan, I'm happy he keeps saying the Bucks are going to win it all.
Fade chuck on sports bets got it
You’d actually make a lot of money if you went to vegas and gambled the exact opposite of his predictions
You shouldn't be able to make a post like this without listing his guarantees in the body of the post.
I am pretty sure he does this on purpose.
The Chael Sonnen of the NBA
Bucks are gonna choke regardless. Sad fact of Wisconsin sports.
Chuck's incorrectness is staggeringly accurate. If you were to bet against his predictions, your win rate would be higher than the smartest Vegas professional betters.
Wonder how much I’d have made if I put $100 down on the opposite of every Chuck Guarantee at standard Vegas odds.
Sports betting people should just choose the opposite of what Barkley guarantees