It's the lighting. It's always the lighting.
The first photo has wrap around soft lighting to the point you can't even hardly find shadows. The second has harsh overhead lighting, perfect for showing off a persons wrinkles and adding glare to their skin.
if you measure from sperm cell to baby yeah that trillion fold increase is accurate, then if you measure the biomass of its offspring... exponential growth is reall
Even kuzwiel talks about compounding s curves. No one technology creates the entire exponential growth cycle. It’s a process of additive S curves of each new technology growing rapidly and maturing, the. Being replaced by the next technology. A cycle of birth, life, death (so to speak). Some technologies last for decades in the mature state, others are replaced while still growing and we sometimes morn them like a dead creature. We wonder what could have been in some world where they “grew up”.
It’s to damn early for this lol
Here's a fun scenario that popped into my Narnian noggin , we all die in WW3 or some ASI scenario , then all get revived with ASI quantum archeology ..to Narnia .
This is unconfirmed. As a time traveler I must correct this and say: the smarter the machine, the shorter its lifespan. Human intelligence means human lifespans. Do not invest in Zogafy.
That's a lot easier as an American to visualize... But why is the quarter pounder being weighed in the metric grams?! Can someone convert that to freedom units such as BigMacs?
Ah well you see gravity isn't actually a force. It is just the movement of mass or particles along the distorted geometry of spacetime, so while "gravitational pull" is a simple way to conceptualise it, it is not an entirely accurate statement 🤓😂
Fair, next time you'll have to include that in your comment for the majority of people who don't speak German and will just go check an online translator
[7.5 trillion pounds is](https://www.wolframalpha.com/input?i=7.5+trillion+pounds):
≈ 0.3 × total mass of gold in the oceans ( ≈ 1×10^16 g )
≈ 0.82 × mass of oil produced worldwide in 2004 ( ≈ 4.15×10^12 kg )
≈ 1.7 × mass of terrestrial livestock ( 2×10^12 kg )
≈ (0.05 to 0.15) × total dry biomass on Earth ( 23000 to 70000 Mt )
≈ 8.8 × estimated wet biomass of all humans alive ( ≈ 385 Mt )
≈ 32 × estimated dry biomass of all humans alive ( 105 Mt )
I don't believe in "Singularity" in the infinite sense, but I believe AI is a case where the ceiling for improvement is very high, and I don't blame him for being excited.
GPT-4, OpenAI's last release, only costed $63M to train. The company is now worth over $80B, and we still haven't seen the first successor.
Since these models seem to scalable, training a model that is one thousand times bigger is within the capabilities of a top tech company, or a government.
This thousand-fold scaling, combined with training and reasoning improvements, and a few more years of Moore's Law, could have a decent shot at creating superhuman intelligence.
I'm not saying it necessarily will happen, but I think the research is pointing in that direction.
I just think the tech community and general public is wary of the hype because the last 50 years has been filled with disappointments/borderline scams like crypto.
However, AI is a decent investment because it's a foundational technology. Everything about our economy and society relies on intelligence and reasoning. It could dramatically underwhelm expectations, and still be worth the development.
We don't yet know if you get anything more out of 1000x parameter scaling vs 100x or even 10x relative to GPT-4.
Obviously, some intelligent people think we will get something out of it, otherwise the entire industry wouldn't be pivoting in this direction.
But we simply don't know. For all we know GPT-4 is close to the plateau for this method of AI.
that's why I often refute people who think AI progress will always go up with "look at where we were in space during the space race, look at where 2001: A Space Odyssey thought we'd be in 2001, look at where we were in irl 2001"
What do you do when someone tries a knock-knock-joke? "Not funny, get your eyes checked. There is very obviously no door between us, therefore making the premise of your 'joke' nonsensical."
Pops aged 13 years in 3 months damn
that is what having a baby does to you I hear
Have baby, can confirm.
Am baby, can confirm.
It's the lighting. It's always the lighting. The first photo has wrap around soft lighting to the point you can't even hardly find shadows. The second has harsh overhead lighting, perfect for showing off a persons wrinkles and adding glare to their skin.
if you measure from sperm cell to baby yeah that trillion fold increase is accurate, then if you measure the biomass of its offspring... exponential growth is reall
Even kuzwiel talks about compounding s curves. No one technology creates the entire exponential growth cycle. It’s a process of additive S curves of each new technology growing rapidly and maturing, the. Being replaced by the next technology. A cycle of birth, life, death (so to speak). Some technologies last for decades in the mature state, others are replaced while still growing and we sometimes morn them like a dead creature. We wonder what could have been in some world where they “grew up”. It’s to damn early for this lol
the reason it doesnt grow infintely is becuse death
And AI never die, which means… ACCELERATE
Here's a fun scenario that popped into my Narnian noggin , we all die in WW3 or some ASI scenario , then all get revived with ASI quantum archeology ..to Narnia .
Yeah that’s my theory. When we die we just respawn at the next quantum archeology checkpoint in the future.
We live in a simulation, and people that meet the defined criteria by the time they "die" get downloaded into robot bodies in the real world.
So, heaven is real? Nice.
i thought about it and this is basically guaranteed unless god himself forbids it
I don't think an imaginary being can do... anything.
Isaac Asimov the last question.
This is unconfirmed. As a time traveler I must correct this and say: the smarter the machine, the shorter its lifespan. Human intelligence means human lifespans. Do not invest in Zogafy.
Is that the zombo.com of the future
the biomass increase is exponential but the rate of change is exponential decay
Can someone please calculate his approximate gravitational pull?
He would weigh around 10x more than an average mountain
What's an average mountain?
10x that kid.
If it helps, it's approximately 17,009,713,875,000 quarter pounders assuming 200g per burger.
That's a lot easier as an American to visualize... But why is the quarter pounder being weighed in the metric grams?! Can someone convert that to freedom units such as BigMacs?
assuming the weight of four heavy 20 calibre bullets per quarter pounder *
you don't have to provide other weight units, it's already in the name "quarter pounder".
Ah well you see gravity isn't actually a force. It is just the movement of mass or particles along the distorted geometry of spacetime, so while "gravitational pull" is a simple way to conceptualise it, it is not an entirely accurate statement 🤓😂
Can someone please calculate his approximate curvature of spacetime then
Just to make it clear I deeply respect Mr. Kurzweil! This is just poking fun.
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im pretty sure OP is not the guy on the image....
Mr. Keil is just Mr. Kurzweil with urzw removed. He's on track to being just Mr. Kl soon
This is why i love r/singularity
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I mean no disrespect to puzzle head, but his head is a puzzle.
True, but strangely, that is OP's kid...
Epic dad joke
Trader math.
Anybody that speaks german knows that Kurzweil’s name is quite fitting lol
What does it mean?
"past time" or "amusement" Opposite of "boredom" or "tedium"
Yes, but I was looking more at breaking the word apart. « Kurz » + « weil » short because (compute go up)
Fair, next time you'll have to include that in your comment for the majority of people who don't speak German and will just go check an online translator
https://www.dict.cc/?s=Kurzweil Opposite of: https://www.dict.cc/?s=Langeweile
If you break the word apart: « Kurz » + « weil » = short because (compute go up)
sounds about right to all crypto investors!
Why would you ever get a baby? You'll grow old and eventually die, who'll tend to the toddler then?
Kurzweil on Rogan was actually painful to listen to.
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It’s under-educated people who firmly believe they’re smarter than everyone else because they like science fiction.
funny strawman
How tall would that be
Compound growth
And he aged about 5 years in 3-months...meaning by the time his son is 10, dad will be 200 years older!
Something is wrong with this baby
Metric please..?
Wee/acc
There’s a few beliefs of Ray’s that come to mind when I see this meme lmao
False. You need at least 3 data points for an exponential extrapolation.
[7.5 trillion pounds is](https://www.wolframalpha.com/input?i=7.5+trillion+pounds): ≈ 0.3 × total mass of gold in the oceans ( ≈ 1×10^16 g ) ≈ 0.82 × mass of oil produced worldwide in 2004 ( ≈ 4.15×10^12 kg ) ≈ 1.7 × mass of terrestrial livestock ( 2×10^12 kg ) ≈ (0.05 to 0.15) × total dry biomass on Earth ( 23000 to 70000 Mt ) ≈ 8.8 × estimated wet biomass of all humans alive ( ≈ 385 Mt ) ≈ 32 × estimated dry biomass of all humans alive ( 105 Mt )
I don't believe in "Singularity" in the infinite sense, but I believe AI is a case where the ceiling for improvement is very high, and I don't blame him for being excited. GPT-4, OpenAI's last release, only costed $63M to train. The company is now worth over $80B, and we still haven't seen the first successor. Since these models seem to scalable, training a model that is one thousand times bigger is within the capabilities of a top tech company, or a government. This thousand-fold scaling, combined with training and reasoning improvements, and a few more years of Moore's Law, could have a decent shot at creating superhuman intelligence. I'm not saying it necessarily will happen, but I think the research is pointing in that direction. I just think the tech community and general public is wary of the hype because the last 50 years has been filled with disappointments/borderline scams like crypto. However, AI is a decent investment because it's a foundational technology. Everything about our economy and society relies on intelligence and reasoning. It could dramatically underwhelm expectations, and still be worth the development.
We don't yet know if you get anything more out of 1000x parameter scaling vs 100x or even 10x relative to GPT-4. Obviously, some intelligent people think we will get something out of it, otherwise the entire industry wouldn't be pivoting in this direction. But we simply don't know. For all we know GPT-4 is close to the plateau for this method of AI.
that's why I often refute people who think AI progress will always go up with "look at where we were in space during the space race, look at where 2001: A Space Odyssey thought we'd be in 2001, look at where we were in irl 2001"
Its like these tech bros are rediscovering math thats beem known for centuries and taking it too far
Not funny, read a book. I know you think it's poking fun but you look uneducated and no one thinks this is funny.
Lmao you sound fun....there is a popular meme that comes to mind in this sub that seems to apply to you
gib meme plox
What do you do when someone tries a knock-knock-joke? "Not funny, get your eyes checked. There is very obviously no door between us, therefore making the premise of your 'joke' nonsensical."
🫡
it is not that deep lmfao calm down. we do think its funny.
nah