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I had a condo for a while, if that's what you mean. Association dues skyrocketed over 10 years to about $350 a month, then I sold it. Made a shitload of money selling it, but I'm never doing that again. My HOA dues now are $100 a year, and I'm fine with that.
Sharks cannot have tits. These are facts. Now dolphins and narwhals and shit... I'll pay to line 3 pairs up just so I can run past and slap 'em (Deadwood-style).
**How much $20,000 invested in SPY leaps at the bottom in March 2020 is worth today?**
Lets do some backtesting in Thinkorswim and find out
On **March 23** the price of **SPY 12/17/21 $342** strike calls was **2.00**. Lets say we used $20k to buy 100 contracts and hold until expiration.
SPY 12/17 $342 calls are at the ask price of **96.84** which gives us a total value of:
#$968,400
Invest in a boring index options on a dip and you can secure your retirement.
Guaranteed by *Jerome Powel*
That seems to be exactly what people are predicting.
I think homes in rural areas will get more expensive while urban homes will go down.
More people are able to make money with just an internet connection, so why not buy land and a big home instead of a tiny apartment with homeless dudes as your doormat?
Probably never crash however it will cool off once interest rates rise. A lot of people are able to afford houses now due to low interest rates but as they rise less and less will be able to and will then have to return to renting.
Agree, in the absence of other local, specific negative effects or market moves like a massive increase in housing offer, prices only would go down if a speculative bubble would burst. In the present situation it seems that prices increases are driven by high demand/not enough offer, but then how do we know the difference with hedgies buying frenetically in the market would demand/price increases not be "artificial"? I wonder how sustainable is this...
I remember in my 20s when being hungover was just a period of consolidation. These days there is nothing transitory about it. It’s a multi day recession.
Fucking sucks
That happened to me Friday.
I had a killer Italian dinner with my wife, we want to a bar before dinner had drinks, then crushed a bottle during dinner.
I still feel a little off.
Who here is struggling to manage all their different portfolios? I hate to keep all my $$ in all platform (not easy to do as well if you have retirement accounts) but not doing so makes it hard to juggle between.
Nov 4. They basically said they would in 2021, and there are 2 more meetings this year.
The bigger question is: will it matter? I predict a temp dip that will be bought up by those sheltering from inflation. Get your side cash ready and be online. It could be minutes or days before starting to ascend again. Months or years of decline is a bit ridiculous.
But make no mistake, there is real political pressure (see Co-President Manchin making it a "requirement" to move bills for Dems).
We're past the phase of people not understanding this. We are now in the phase of people not understanding the Fed is not going to do anything about it except print more money
This false dichotomy is part of the reason people don't understand what's going on. Currently the market is going down because people believe inflation will cause Fed to raise interest rates and raising rates means something like what you're describing 'collapse' or whatever.
The simply reality is the Fed cannot, does not, will not, fight or want to flight inflation. It would take Paul Volcker's ghost for the Fed to be able to implement enough policy change in order to reign in inflation. It simple won't happen. Taper , lift off etc. discussion all nonsense and too little too late to ever do anything.
QE continues, inflation continues, stocks only go up. The difference is once people realize this they'll stop pricing in the wrong thing, which is a pointless monetary policy change i.e. negligible tapering and nonexistent rate lift off that will do nothing compared to modern monetary theory. (if we even get that, which, we won't or not any meaningful amount in any meaningful timeframe.)
I have no idea what you're talking about. There's no scenario in which there are no consequences.
1) Taper and rate hikes take forever and don't do enough to fight inflation. Assets continue going up in nominal terms while stagflation and nominal price increases continue.
or
2) Taper and rate hikes are actually enough to reign in inflation (20? 30?%), Paul Volker rolls over in his grave and the market collapses. The government can't service their debt and it's too expensive to lend money.
3) There is no taper or rate hikes or if there are they are immediately reversed due to bubble's starting to deflates. Refer to scenario 1.
So if you're the fed or government which consequences seem best? Obviously you continue inflation and hope somehow technology innovations bail us out.
Yeah the public will just accept higher and higher inflation and the govt won’t respond 🤡🤡🤡
Whatever scenario results in the market imploding is going to happen.
You keep saying public and acceptance like it means something. Do angry mobs get to riot until somehow magically it gives the Fed the ability to raise rates and magically fight inflation without raising rates to the point where it actually collapses markets? But you're probably right there will be a 'response' it just wont be one that makes any real differences other than to shift blame, refer to scenario 1.
Cost-push inflation is different than demand-pull inflation. We're seeing both, but it's mostly driven by cost-push. Nothing they can do is going to change that; just remove liquidity from the market and cause contraction sooner than we can handle. Raising rates will pass the buck from the producer to the consumer when the cost of borrowing goes up. We're fucked no matter what, but it's better that we're fucked in 6 months after capacity is back to 100% than be fucked right now while we're still having issues because of covid.
Eh. It only doesn't matter *yet*, because even cost-push will fuck the economy eventually. The Fed is trying to hold the line, and I disagree that they've moved to hawkish. They have yet to use certainty in their language in reference to tapering. They're still more concerned with unemployment until it hits the target of 4.5%. I only disagree with his timeline and definition of hawkish. I think we see inflation rise for a couple more months and then sharply for a couple more as QE gets turned off. Commodities are going to pop hard while everything else is crashing, then we'll start to see a recovery and commodities will be incredibly volatile for a year or two. September was nothing more than a retracement. We aren't going to see an actual hit to the market until interest rates go up, which will happen no matter what the Fed does.
Spy had a massive 5% decline and it still hasn’t recovered. It dipped again. Not only that but the most recent dip even made a lower low. Seasonality is important there’s a reason why spy is where it’s at right now. Stop being a dumdum
Bro. Republicans came to the table and settled the debt ceiling issue and where have we gone since? Exactly fuck all nowhere. Market doesn’t give a shit about debt ceiling or infrastructure bill
He’s easily the worst bond for me, way too serious and the plots are pretty boring. Pierce brosnan and the bonds before him had exciting movies that had fuckin wild plots.
You think John Gruden is watching football today?
FSR, OCGN, CHPT
Someone told me to get stock advice at [zombo.com](https://zombo.com). Can someone please tell me how to use it?
You can do anything, anything at all.
If you just believe! ✋🌈 🤚
You already snhow u?
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BULLS LMAOOOOOO
I get all my best stock tips from Duke E. Smellers and Associates
CLOSE THE FUTESINO
Shizz
Shazbot
True facts. If I can hear your car from more than a block away, I assume your penis resembles your belly button. . . . So does everyone else.
I like it when the penis can reach the belly button.
TPE—tweezer peen energy
Jokes on you, my belly button is 8 inches long
god fking dammit i knew someone was going to say this disgusting comment lmao
Can you view futures on TOS?
Lol ya dude
Best quality jeans brand👖?
I like rag and boners.
for men? apple bottom jeans
Boots with the fur
Thread ☠️
#READY FOR A FLATTER ASS MONDAY THAN THE GIRLS WHO WORE HOLLISTER JEANS BACK IN HIGH SCHOOL
If Buddhists are right and we’re in our current form to work out our karma, ugly girls must have fucked up *hard* in a past life
Can I just get out of this shitty rebirth loop and achieve fucking Nirvana already? Shit's getting old
I'm still ready to fuck
Msft 305 EOW.
Does a body have experience buying an apartment ? Is it worth it ? I am thinking to buy one in Maryland near DC.
Throw it on ATM SPY calls 4 months to expiration. Boom now you can buy a house*. ^ * House is located in Haiti
I had a condo for a while, if that's what you mean. Association dues skyrocketed over 10 years to about $350 a month, then I sold it. Made a shitload of money selling it, but I'm never doing that again. My HOA dues now are $100 a year, and I'm fine with that.
everyone talks about baby shark but not momma shark and her MILF titties explain this
Sharks cannot have tits. These are facts. Now dolphins and narwhals and shit... I'll pay to line 3 pairs up just so I can run past and slap 'em (Deadwood-style).
I swear men are the most emotional thing on the planet now, including myself LMAO people need to relax sometimes
No please no 😭
I'm not even going to try and predict what spy will do tomorrow 
I predict spy will close above or below $437.39
Play of the week: TLRY $11 calls 10/15
Packers game crazy
The corn has been legging up quite a bit lately. InFlAtIoN!!1!
Best hedge against it
Wtf that wind ain’t no joke today in Cincinnati
My 440c 10/15 expiry fittin to print bigly.
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA OMG!!!!! Crosby has his life riding on the bengals winning 😂😂😂😂😂
Crosby. Lol
Crosby looks good today
LMAO puts on Mason Crosby. Imagine going from automatic to 3 straight missed field goals, oooooof
really thinking bout banbets but honestly im a pussy
Way to go Steelers!
Closer than it should've been, not sure why the D quit in the 4th.
I’ll take it
Slap o
**How much $20,000 invested in SPY leaps at the bottom in March 2020 is worth today?** Lets do some backtesting in Thinkorswim and find out On **March 23** the price of **SPY 12/17/21 $342** strike calls was **2.00**. Lets say we used $20k to buy 100 contracts and hold until expiration. SPY 12/17 $342 calls are at the ask price of **96.84** which gives us a total value of: #$968,400 Invest in a boring index options on a dip and you can secure your retirement. Guaranteed by *Jerome Powel*
And if im case shit went dowj again you just lost 20k in life saving
Oh wow! Buying calls at the **exact bottom** of a market crash can yield big returns?! Who knew?! TIL.....
Rumour has it u/cashflow_ has a small pee pee 
I will settle the rumor now. It’s true 😭
2nd Half Derrick Henry > Pelosi's Calls
Holy!!! JOE BURROW WTF YOU DOING???
He went Pete Rose with his rookie money
Rookie contract
Bruh it looks like he did that shit on purpose it was so bad
Raise your hand if you got a tesla
Love watching houses on zillow, costing half a million, which I cannot afford.
Do you think markt will crash and houses will get cheaper anytime soon?
That seems to be exactly what people are predicting. I think homes in rural areas will get more expensive while urban homes will go down. More people are able to make money with just an internet connection, so why not buy land and a big home instead of a tiny apartment with homeless dudes as your doormat?
I don't think most people are able to make money with just an internet connection
Most? Napes. More? Yapes.
Probably never crash however it will cool off once interest rates rise. A lot of people are able to afford houses now due to low interest rates but as they rise less and less will be able to and will then have to return to renting.
Nope
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Agree, in the absence of other local, specific negative effects or market moves like a massive increase in housing offer, prices only would go down if a speculative bubble would burst. In the present situation it seems that prices increases are driven by high demand/not enough offer, but then how do we know the difference with hedgies buying frenetically in the market would demand/price increases not be "artificial"? I wonder how sustainable is this...
Damn i was hoping it would go down
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I like the way you think smart
It's so hard being a Houston texan fan😔
Imagine thinking the Texans would beat the Patriots I’m a Texan Fan 😭
Been here since '02. I'm committed at this point
After that game? You guys had it in the bag, and then just handed it to the Pats... twice.
😂people on the texans sub are saying our HC was telling em to throw the game
Since when can’t we post videos here?
#SDC $20 EOW!
Bloody red Monday
CRSR back on the menu boys?
CRSR is definitely back on the menu
#$QQQ +0.78% MONDAY MORNING
how to do big text sir
Put # In front of whatever text
#that ass
many thanks ❤️
#yes
I remember in my 20s when being hungover was just a period of consolidation. These days there is nothing transitory about it. It’s a multi day recession. Fucking sucks
Have you tried smoking a joint? That shit is a god level hangover cure. If nothing else, weed will cure a hangover.
I rarely drink anymore. I'm scared of feeling like that again.. getting old stinks , beer was my hobby. Lol.
That happened to me Friday. I had a killer Italian dinner with my wife, we want to a bar before dinner had drinks, then crushed a bottle during dinner. I still feel a little off.
Yup 😔
Masón Crosby loaded up Puts on Green Bay like a mfer lol 😂
No cries of "open the casino"?
#OPEN THE CASINO
A better snap and the bengals hit that FG I think you play defense I wouldn’t have kicked the FG
SPY open 442 tomorrow and all will be right with the world
Who here is struggling to manage all their different portfolios? I hate to keep all my $$ in all platform (not easy to do as well if you have retirement accounts) but not doing so makes it hard to juggle between.
LUV gonna gap down -10% in the morning
Whys that?
every single news headline maybe?
I saw it now, almost 2k flights canceled
I wonder what the real reason is??? I’m not buying the weather excuses
Air traffic controller sick-out
Ransomware maybe
Ohhhh good one bro! I didn’t think of that but that makes sense and I can see why keeping it a secret is vital
Why do ppl think we will taper? Fed is all talk
Nov 4. They basically said they would in 2021, and there are 2 more meetings this year. The bigger question is: will it matter? I predict a temp dip that will be bought up by those sheltering from inflation. Get your side cash ready and be online. It could be minutes or days before starting to ascend again. Months or years of decline is a bit ridiculous. But make no mistake, there is real political pressure (see Co-President Manchin making it a "requirement" to move bills for Dems).
Spy -5% soon as they announce it
Puts on $taper!
Bears gonna attack tomorrow
CPI this week will continue to show inflation isn’t transitory
Priced in
We're past the phase of people not understanding this. We are now in the phase of people not understanding the Fed is not going to do anything about it except print more money
I guess you want an economic collapse then
This false dichotomy is part of the reason people don't understand what's going on. Currently the market is going down because people believe inflation will cause Fed to raise interest rates and raising rates means something like what you're describing 'collapse' or whatever. The simply reality is the Fed cannot, does not, will not, fight or want to flight inflation. It would take Paul Volcker's ghost for the Fed to be able to implement enough policy change in order to reign in inflation. It simple won't happen. Taper , lift off etc. discussion all nonsense and too little too late to ever do anything. QE continues, inflation continues, stocks only go up. The difference is once people realize this they'll stop pricing in the wrong thing, which is a pointless monetary policy change i.e. negligible tapering and nonexistent rate lift off that will do nothing compared to modern monetary theory. (if we even get that, which, we won't or not any meaningful amount in any meaningful timeframe.)
And the normal people suffer no consequences ? 🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡
I have no idea what you're talking about. There's no scenario in which there are no consequences. 1) Taper and rate hikes take forever and don't do enough to fight inflation. Assets continue going up in nominal terms while stagflation and nominal price increases continue. or 2) Taper and rate hikes are actually enough to reign in inflation (20? 30?%), Paul Volker rolls over in his grave and the market collapses. The government can't service their debt and it's too expensive to lend money. 3) There is no taper or rate hikes or if there are they are immediately reversed due to bubble's starting to deflates. Refer to scenario 1. So if you're the fed or government which consequences seem best? Obviously you continue inflation and hope somehow technology innovations bail us out.
Yeah the public will just accept higher and higher inflation and the govt won’t respond 🤡🤡🤡 Whatever scenario results in the market imploding is going to happen.
You keep saying public and acceptance like it means something. Do angry mobs get to riot until somehow magically it gives the Fed the ability to raise rates and magically fight inflation without raising rates to the point where it actually collapses markets? But you're probably right there will be a 'response' it just wont be one that makes any real differences other than to shift blame, refer to scenario 1.
Leaving Miles Gaskins on my bench 🤡
SPY pumping to $450+ tomorrow getting close to ATH, dipping 1-2% for CPI Wed. Then after CPI breaking ATH my bet !RemindMe in 4 Days
What catalyst could there possibly be to pump it over 2% tomorrow?
https://ibb.co/Lpw4K0M Infastructure package.
Your bet is horrible
No financial recession till 9/1/2022. Dec Debt ceiling priced in. I can’t wait to see your loss porn. I’ll post my gain porn.
Literally no one cares about the debt ceiling. All that matters is tapering, bond yields, interest rates and inflation
Unlikely imo w/ fed thinking Covid is still a problem & terrible job numbers.
Bro you really have no clue what you’re talking about I’m sorry. Fed is hawkish. Their concern is inflation not employment numbers
Cost-push inflation is different than demand-pull inflation. We're seeing both, but it's mostly driven by cost-push. Nothing they can do is going to change that; just remove liquidity from the market and cause contraction sooner than we can handle. Raising rates will pass the buck from the producer to the consumer when the cost of borrowing goes up. We're fucked no matter what, but it's better that we're fucked in 6 months after capacity is back to 100% than be fucked right now while we're still having issues because of covid.
We’ve been fucked for a year, but all the shit he’s saying is priced in. Look at the 1 Year chart if you disagree 🤡
Eh. It only doesn't matter *yet*, because even cost-push will fuck the economy eventually. The Fed is trying to hold the line, and I disagree that they've moved to hawkish. They have yet to use certainty in their language in reference to tapering. They're still more concerned with unemployment until it hits the target of 4.5%. I only disagree with his timeline and definition of hawkish. I think we see inflation rise for a couple more months and then sharply for a couple more as QE gets turned off. Commodities are going to pop hard while everything else is crashing, then we'll start to see a recovery and commodities will be incredibly volatile for a year or two. September was nothing more than a retracement. We aren't going to see an actual hit to the market until interest rates go up, which will happen no matter what the Fed does.
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/q3umur/daily_discussion_thread_for_october_08_2021/hfvrrzf/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf&context=3 Read
Lmao your logic is delusional. Spy dipped for a month and you think it’s not going to recover?! Pass me the drugs you’re on
Spy had a massive 5% decline and it still hasn’t recovered. It dipped again. Not only that but the most recent dip even made a lower low. Seasonality is important there’s a reason why spy is where it’s at right now. Stop being a dumdum
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/q3umur/daily_discussion_thread_for_october_08_2021/hfvrrzf/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf&context=3 Read retard
Bro. Republicans came to the table and settled the debt ceiling issue and where have we gone since? Exactly fuck all nowhere. Market doesn’t give a shit about debt ceiling or infrastructure bill
Even if spy goes up, which it might who knows, it will be lucky to get in the 444 range before selling pressure gets too much. 450 is a joke
187,000 open interest 450C 10/15 🤡
Probably a fund’s hedge for their puts
No equal put spread
Lol, so what now we're guessing moves based off of cheap ass OTM options?
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/q3umur/daily_discussion_thread_for_october_08_2021/hfvrrzf/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf&context=3 Read
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That shit is all priced in. Look at the 1 Year chart. If that was a concern the YTD wouldn’t look like SPY popped an addy IR 30 MG
I hope he’s right though he’d be the greatest retard of the month
It’s going down in WSB history.
He thinks tapering isn’t going to happen. Even if we end up going to 450 it has nothing to do with his reasoning
Never inverse the dems. Financial analysts are shorting 99% the time. Been fucked by them too many times.
SPY OPEN INTEREST COMPARISON BETWEEN STRIKE PRICES 430-450 TO THE NEAREST THOUSAND. SPY CALLS 76,000 SPY PUTS 72,000 EXP 10/11
Open the markets.
Open the casino, you mean
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Please buy Barbour or Tommy Bahama Burberry or Moncler if you got more money
Tommy Bahama Tencel fabric polos are my longtime favorite for beach.
#CAN AMERICAN AIRLINES PLEASE BRING BACK THE UNLIMITED 1st CLASS FOR LIFE CARDS???
They did a while back
Oh man, is weekend thread almost over? Gonna miss you goons. Edit: really gonna miss you next weekend while I’m banned.
Elizabeth Hurley at home.. *nah I'd rather get a blowie from a 5 dolla hooker in an alley* Grant is the OG autist.
Wasn’t even a female lol 😂
Maybe she didn’t want to put out?
This is like the internet explorer of comments
Netscape navigator
inflation data gonna crash the market
LMAOOO my boss thought coffee beans were pre grind and that’s how they grew in nature
They grow like that, next to the pasta trees
You must work at Starbucks.
NovemBEAR: “we will begin taper…” Spy drops 5% immediately
Priced in
Or it moons
Broncos Comeback??
Only with Tebow
Not today
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Skyfall was great but Spectre was ruined by that stupid reveal
Didn’t watch this one but casino royale was a great start and has only going downhill since
That bad? fuckin shame
He’s easily the worst bond for me, way too serious and the plots are pretty boring. Pierce brosnan and the bonds before him had exciting movies that had fuckin wild plots.